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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 27.3%
Draw 29.9%
Cremonese 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.9%
30.8%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
30%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cremonese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Arezzo - Cremonese Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Nunziante A. (G) 6. Renzi A. 13. Gilli M. 4. Coppolaro M. 37. Righetti S. 7. Leone K. 24. Chierico L. 17. Ionita A. (C) 10. Pattarello E. 9. Cerri A. 16. Sala M.
1. Fulignati A. (G) 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 3. Pezzella G. 2. Thorsby M. 33. Grassi A. 18. Collocolo M. 71. Elia S. 27. Vandeputte J. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 32. Cagnano A. 71. Cianci P. 8. Eklu S. M. 67. Ferrari G. M. 5. Illanes J. 33. Mancini D. 11. Mancuso L. 2. Mena M. 90. Seculin A. (G) 21. Tavernelli C. 23. Viviani M.
22. Agazzi F. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 14. Berti T. 9. De Luca M. 13. Fellipe Jack 12. Festa M. (G) 26. Herzuah G. 10. Licina A. 17. Lickunas A. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 28. Marsi S. 38. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
Bucchi C.
Pecchia F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Cerri A. 🟨,
55', Collocolo M. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
55', Nasti M. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
57', Pezzella G. 🟨,
59', Pezzella G. 🟨,
62', Pattarello E. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
62', Cerri A. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
62', Leone K. ↓, Tavernelli C. ↑,
68', Vandeputte J. ↓, Lottici Tessadri S. ↑,
68', Grassi A. ↓, Licina A. ↑,
76', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
76', Elia S. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
78', Sala M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
81', Fulignati A. 🟨,
83', Pecchia F. 🟨,
89', Arena A. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 15th).
Arezzo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cremonese is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Arezzo: Iaccarino G.
(Inactive)
Renzi A.
(Inactive)
Tavernelli C.
(Inactive).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Arezzo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:12 (averaging 0.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arezzo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).