Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Genoa		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	6.25
	1.66	3.70	4.60
	1.55	3.85	6.3	Watch
	1.55	4.04	6.82
	1.65	3.92	5.22	Watch
	1.53	4	6.55
	1.53	4.04	6.64
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.93 ↑ (3.74)	6 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
60.3%

Draw
24%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Genoa - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: Genoa will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Stolz F. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 31. Puczka D. 11. Meichtry F. 71. Wiafe S. 4. Amorim 2. Mitaj M. 16. Drameh C. 9. Vitinha (C) 8. Baldanzi T.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 19. Pellini M. 55. Giorgini A. 3. Veroli D. 23. Davi F. 21. Tait F. (C) 46. Brik D. 24. Davi S. 25. Mixtur K. 17. Anghele L. 9. Burnete R.
Substitutes
1. Bijlow J. (G) 29. Colombo L. 3. Ehizibue K. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 92. El Shaarawy S. 32. Frendrup M. 10. Junior Messias 18. Osmajic M. 5. Ostigard L. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 97. Sow D. 25. Traore H. J. 22. Vasquez J.	20. Bjarkason B. 39. Iuliano M. 32. Laureti T. (G) 11. Lopes V. 79. Molina S. 90. Okoro A. 10. Rispoli F. 80. Schroot E. 27. Stabile G. 4. Stivanello R. 5. Tronchin S. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Giorgini A. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
61', Mitaj M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
61', Drameh C. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
61', Anghele L. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
68', Baldanzi T. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
73', Pellini M. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
73', Mixtur K. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
80', Otoa S. ↓, Vasquez J. ↑,
81', Meichtry F. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
83', Veroli D. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Vasquez J. ⚽, Puczka D. (A),

Preview

Genoa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Südtirol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Genoa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Genoa is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Genoa - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Genoa - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Genoa	0:0
08.12.22	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.16	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0

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