Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Lusail Iconic Stadium (Lusail)

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	TV Publica
Belgium	Een, RTBF
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Cameroon	CRTV
Czech-republic	Nova Action
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2
Switzerland	SRF


	Argentina		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	5
	1.87	3.25	4.6
	1.92	3.3	5
	1.88	3.3	4.7
	1.93	3.36	4.86
	1.88	3.2	4.75
	1.93	3.46	5.1
	1.91	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	4.85 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (4K), Telemundo

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
50.9%

Draw
29.1%

Croatia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	20.6%	17.1%

Argentina - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 315 users predict this event. Argentina will win (votes: 196 - 62.2%). Croatia will win (votes: 54 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 65 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 56.8% – 67.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Argentina was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, has a good chance of final (64%), has a chance of win world cup (37%).

Croatia has not chance of 1st place, was already of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, has a chance of final (36%), has a chance of win world cup (16%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Argentina is a favorite.

There will not play in Argentina: Acuna M. (Yellow Cards) Montiel G. (Yellow Cards)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Argentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina
FIFA World Cup
09.12.22	Netherlands - Argentina	2:3 penalties ✺
03.12.22	Argentina - Australia	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Poland - Argentina	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Argentina - Mexico	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Argentina - Saudi Arabia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- Croatia
FIFA World Cup
09.12.22	Croatia - Brazil	2:1 penalties ✺
05.12.22	Japan - Croatia	1:2 penalties ✺
01.12.22	Croatia - Belgium	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Croatia - Canada	4:1 ✺
23.11.22	Morocco - Croatia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.06.18	Argentina - Croatia	0:3
Friendly
12.11.14	Argentina - Croatia	2:1

Argentina - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide