The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino Monte Maíz 58.8%
Draw 25.6%
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
30.7%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
32.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino Monte Maíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino Monte Maíz's performance.
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino Monte Maíz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G)
2. Amaya I.
11. Baier G.
6. Barbero M.
8. Bassani J.
4. Coronas E.
3. Diaz E.
7. Larrea L.
5. Lopez L.
9. Oballes P.
10. Vera M.
Substitutes
12. Bovo A. (G)
14. Correa M.
15. Fassino N.
16. Lasserre R.
18. Lentini R.
13. Moreyra P.
17. Piatti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Lebus N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Oballes P. 🟨,
56', Soda P. ↓, Bustamante J. ↑,
56', Lebus N. ↓, Carabali A. ↑,
60', Bassani J. ↓, Sarmiento G. ↑,
60', Fassino N. ↓, Lasserre R. ↑,
66', Pereyra P. ↓, Astudillo B. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Lucero J. ⚽,
73', Moreyra P. ↓, Perrig U. ↑,
73', Lucero J. ↓, Lazaneo J. ↑,
73', Bustamante F. ↓, Ruiz Sosa M. ↑,
84', Diaz E. ↓, Lentini R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Lentini R. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino MM won 3.
Argentino MM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sportivo Estudiantes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Argentino MM will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Argentino MM won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino MM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).