Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva (Merlo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Argentino de Merlo		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.48	3.65	7.1
	1.48	3.39	8.86
	1.61	3.02	7.36	Watch
	1.52	3.69	7.17
	1.51	3.45	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.83)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	7.26 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Merlo
60.8%

Draw
26.5%

Fénix
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Merlo's performance.

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Merlo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentino de Merlo - Fénix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Ursino D. (C) 2. Tamborelli E. 6. Zarate E. 3. Lopez V. 8. Gaitan T. 5. Romero L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Ledesma M. I. 9. Scarnato L. 11. Lucas Delgado	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Ferro G. (C) 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Lugo K. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Perez P. 11. Breccia R. 7. Ahumada I. 9. Meridione A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Nizzo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Delgado ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
56', Lugo K. ↓, Zeoliti T. ↑,
61', Gaitan T. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
63', Nizzo M. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
63', Meridione A. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
68', Cordoba L. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
72', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
73', Zarate E. 🟨,
74', Romero L. 🟨,
85', Romero L. ↓, Sanchez de Leon J. ↑,
85', Salvador A. ↓, Scisci G. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Lopez V. ⚽,
90+2', Ortiz J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Argentino de Merlo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
27.09.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Argentino de Merlo - Liniers	5:1 ✺
14.09.25	Comunicaciones - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTL
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
27.09.25	Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Villa Dálmine - Fénix	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fénix - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Fénix	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Fénix - Liniers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2
19.08.24	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:1
30.03.24	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	0:0
10.07.23	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	1:2
11.03.23	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	2:0

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