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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 42.8%
Draw 31%
Argentino de Merlo 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
28.2%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
27.4%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 8. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 6. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 2. Orellana D. 3. Siliman A. 10. Velazquez R. 7. Zagert E.
1. Oviedo G. (G) 2. Cacace J. 11. Gomez M. 7. Jerez T. 3. Lopez V. 6. Maceri B. 8. Medina C. 4. Rodriguez J. 5. Romero L. 10. Scisci G. 9. Sellecchia F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Chavez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Medina C. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
60', Jerez T. ↓, Cohen E. ↑,
62', Sellecchia F. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Denis K. ⚽,
69', Scisci G. 🟨,
70', Zagert E. ↓, Geneiro L. ↑,
77', Lezcano L. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
78', Sellecchia F. ↓, Candelaresi T. ↑,
78', Scisci G. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
85', Velazquez R. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
86', Chavez B. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
90+4', Cohen E. 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2.
In recent outings, SM de Burzaco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Argentino de Merlo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
SM de Burzaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, SM de Burzaco has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:18 (averaging 0.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SM de Burzaco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Argentina
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Gagliardo M. (G) 
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