The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 25.9%
Draw 32.8%
Villa Dálmine 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
32%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
32.8%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Merlo's form might have worsened.
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Dálmine's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Dálmine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentino de Merlo - Villa Dálmine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 10. Gomez M. 3. Lopez F. 11. Maldonado F. 6. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero L. 7. Salvador A. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
1. Rojas J. (G) 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 7. Gargiulo V. 11. Gimenez F. 3. Martinez D. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Prim S. 8. Solis M. 9. Torres G. 6. Zurita M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
25', Gamba L. ↓, Britos M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
64', Maldonado F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
64', Sica N. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
67', Torres G. ↓, Resquin G. ↑,
67', Gimenez F. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
71', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
71', Romero L. ↓, Cohen E. ↑,
73', Tamborelli E. 🟨,
74', Cohen E. 🟨,
79', Ursino D. ↓, Marcial C. ↑,
84', Gargiulo V. ↓, Nievas A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Argentino de Merlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa Dálmine is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Villa Dálmine could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Villa Dalmine
38
17
13
8
38:23
15
64
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Villa Dálmine - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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