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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 44%
Draw 31.5%
Brown de Adrogué 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
28.6%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
27.9%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Dálmine's form might have worsened.
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Dálmine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 4. Britos M. 6. Broggi C. 2. Gamba L. 7. Gargiulo V. 3. Martinez D. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 8. Solis M. 9. Torres G.
1. Wysocki M. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Cesare L. 11. Guerrero B. 9. Meaurio N. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M.
Substitutes
15. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 16. Garzino F. 18. Morales M. 14. Nievas A. 19. Oro P. 17. Ramon E. 20. Schultz E. 13. Zurita M.
15. Castano A. 20. Cerulo M. 18. Ferrario F. 16. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 17. Gonzalez L. 19. Lopez B. 13. Pieres M. 14. Rodriguez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Solis M. 🟨,
30', Robles E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Gargiulo V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sanchez L. 🟨,
56', Silva J. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
56', Sproat M. ↓, Cerulo M. ↑,
56', Baldunciel L. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
62', Ferrario F. 🟨,
69', Cesare L. 🟨,
75', Solis M. ↓, Garzino F. ↑,
75', Gargiulo V. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
77', Garzino F. 🟨,
83', Gamba L. 🟨,
88', Prim S. ↓, Nievas A. ↑,
88', Ponzo T. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Brown de Adrogué may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Villa Dálmine is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa Dálmine won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 0.9:0.4).