The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 37.2%
Draw 32.2%
Deportivo Laferrere 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
30.3%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
30.8%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Cohen E. 13. Lopez F. 3. Lopez V. 8. Medina C. 5. Paz Sierra L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Scisci G. 11. Sellecchia F. 4. Ursino D.
1. Libares T. (G) 8. Benitez A. 5. Digangi M. 3. Mamani L. 9. Moran J. 6. Nebot L. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 2. Solis D. 11. Visco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Romero F. ⚽,
45+1', Romero L. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Benitez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Ursino D. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
58', Mamani L. ↓, Denis J. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Visco A. ⚽,
63', Ortiz J. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
63', Romero L. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
69', Benitez A. ↓, Vivas N. ↑,
69', Moran J. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
72', Marcial C. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
77', Digangi M. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
78', Cohen E. 🟨,
81', Cohen E. ↓, Cacace J. ↑,
81', Sica N. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 1.
Argentino de Merlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Laferrere is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Argentino de Merlo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.79%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.