Match Info

Primera B - Round 25

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Barranca Quilmena stadium (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Argentino de Quilmes		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.80	3.10	1.70
	3.95	3.00	1.89	Watch
	5.28	3.27	1.71
	5.02	3.28	1.7	Watch
	5.05	3.20	1.67
	5.46	3.23	1.74
	4.70	3.00	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	1.74 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
18.6%

Draw
28.9%

Arsenal Sarandí
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Quilmes's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Sarandí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Argentino de Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 2. Cosciuc F. 3. Diez E. 8. Escudero A. 11. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 6. Gomez M. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 9. Torancio E. 5. Vega M.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 11. Benitez K. 5. Colletta T. 4. Del Col M. (C) 3. Frascone N. 9. Kestler I. 10. La Roza U. 8. Lucero M. 6. Peralta I. 2. Schiavulli T. 7. Trombini M.
Substitutes
16. Alfonso S. 14. Castano S. 17. Ceccotti M. 15. Cettou J. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 20. Di Marco V. 13. Fernandez S. 18. Guzman L.	13. Brienzo N. 17. Cabral D. 20. Franco L. 14. Payes A. 15. Perez D. 16. Persico B. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 18. Vega A. 19. Wrubel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
35', Colletta T. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benitez K. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
46', Lucero M. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
61', Vega M. ↓, Castano S. ↑,
61', Torancio E. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
65', Martinez J. 🟨,
69', Frascone N. 🟨,
71', Perez D. 🟨,
76', Filosa L. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
81', Kestler I. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
81', Martinez J. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
86', Gomez M. 🟨,
86', Del Col M. 🟨,
90+3', Wrubel E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

Argentino de Quilmes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
16	Argentino de Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30:37	-7	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Argentino de Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:3 ✺
28.06.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Quilmes	2:4 ✺
14.06.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Comunicaciones - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Merlo	4:2 ✺
13.06.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1

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