Match Info

Primera B - Round 21

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.10	4.40
	1.75	3.05	4.70	Watch
	1.75	3.07	5.12
	1.9	2.73	4.97	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.8
	1.75	3.04	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	4.84 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
51%

Draw
30.3%

Deportivo Merlo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

30.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

33.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Benitez K. 3. Cabrera I. 4. Del Col M. (C) 9. Franco L. 8. Lucero M. 6. Peralta I. 2. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A.	1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 20. Cabrera D. 11. Cuenca C. 2. Figueredo L. 17. Hernandez R. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 10. Sandoval I. 7. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Sosa M. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Cabrera I. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Lucero M. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,
45+1', Trombini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diaz A. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
46', Cuenca C. ↓, Busto J. ↑,
46', Schiavulli T. ↓, Brienzo N. ↑,
55', Aguerre F. 🟨,
55', Busto J. 🟨,
60', 3 - 2, Sandoval I. ⚽,
63', Hernandez R. 🟨,
63', Benitez K. 🟨,
64', Sandoval I. 🟨,
69', 4 - 2, Franco L. ⚽,
70', Vega A. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
75', Benitez K. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
76', Lucero M. ↓, Persico B. ↑,
77', Aguerre F. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
80', Figueredo L. 🟨,
81', Franco L. ↓, Mino L. ↑,
81', Aguirre D. E. 🟥,
87', Vallejo L. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
13.06.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Deportivo Flandria - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa San Carlos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
14.06.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:2 ✺
05.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTW

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