Match Info

Primera B - Round 24

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.40	6.00
	1.46	3.70	6.40	Watch
	1.48	3.73	7.53
	1.48	3.62	7.17	Watch
	1.43	3.65	7.40
	1.57	3.56	6.55
	1.51	3.50	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.74)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	6.72 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
61.1%

Draw
25.4%

Defensores Unidos
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 4. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 8. Ochoa J. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 2. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Iribarne S. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello J.
Substitutes
15. Benitez K. 13. Brienzo N. 16. Frascone N. 20. Kestler I. 18. La Roza U. 19. Lucero M. 17. Mino L. 14. Payes A. 12. Pezzini N. (G)	17. Castro L. 20. D'Andrea F. 16. Ferreyra T. 15. Gomez Z. 13. Lorenzo A. 19. Pedraza L. 14. Rapetti M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 18. Sombra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Henricot F. (Own goal),
8', 1 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
37', Ochoa J. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
43', Gimenez M. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Perez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Alarcon M. N. 🟨,
57', Redondo K. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
70', Girard T. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
70', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
70', Tello J. ↓, Gomez Z. ↑,
70', Vega A. ↓, Benitez K. ↑,
70', Benitez K. 🟨,
70', Sosa M. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
75', 🟨,
79', Trombini M. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
79', Franco L. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
83', Lopez M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, La Roza U. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Arsenal Sarandí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Defensores Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores Unidos - the odds 4.35 are the expected chance of winning is 20.75%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
04.07.26	Comunicaciones - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Merlo	4:2 ✺
13.06.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Deportivo Armenio - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.02.26	Defensores Unidos - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1

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