Match Info

Primera B - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Francisco Boga Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	San Martín de Burzaco		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.35	Watch
	2.23	2.89	3.43
	2.16	3.03	3.33	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.19	3.03	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.03)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	3.39 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
41.8%

Draw
31.2%

Defensores Unidos
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

31.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

30.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesi N. (G) 3. Barrera N. 8. Diaz R. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 5. Peralta R. 11. Serpa I. 6. Siliman A. 7. Velazquez R. 9. Zagert E.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello H.
Substitutes
20. Chavez B. 14. Escudero M. 16. Gauna N. A. 12. Jadli D. 18. Lezcano L. 13. Orellana D. 19. Selpa E. 17. Soria D. 15. Tobon J.	14. Baigorria A. 18. D'Andrea F. 15. Gomez Z. 19. Herrera S. 13. Lorenzo A. . Montani L. 16. Ortigoza M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 17. Sombra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zagert E. ⚽,
11', Peralta R. 🟨,
18', Lopez M. 🟨,
27', Marchesi N. 🟨,
42', Lopez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Diaz R. 🟨,
55', Tello H. 🟨,
59', Girard T. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
59', Patroni S. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
59', Tello H. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
63', Zagert E. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
70', Serpa I. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
70', Velazquez R. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
71', Lopez M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
76', Alarcon M. N. 🟨,
81', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
81', Modon S. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
83', Diaz R. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

SM de Burzaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Defensores Unidos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SM de Burzaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
05.04.26	Comunicaciones - San Martín de Burzaco	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTWTW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
04.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Liniers - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	UAI Urquiza - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
04.03.26	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
20.04.18	San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos	1:2
22.05.17	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de Burzaco	2:2
09.11.16	San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos	0:3
02.04.16	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de Burzaco	2:2

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