The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Rosario 23.4%
Draw 32.1%
Centro Español 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
30.7%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
30.1%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Rosario's form might have worsened.
Centro Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Rosario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Centro Español, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentino de Rosario - Centro Español Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Hernandez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Galimberti J. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 1.
Argentino de Rosario is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Centro Español has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Argentino de Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Centro Español has had a series of home games.
Centro Español could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Rosario won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Centro Español - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.