The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Rosario 39.4%
Draw 33%
Puerto Nuevo 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
29.8%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
30.9%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Rosario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 1.
Recent form of Argentino de Rosario has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Puerto Nuevo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Argentino de Rosario will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.5:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Rosario won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Rosario - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Puerto Nuevo - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.