Match Info

Primera C - Round 23

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Martín Olaeta (Rosario)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Argentino de Rosario		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.70	2.80
	2.55	2.88	2.63	Watch
	2.51	2.73	3.07
	2.52	2.76	3
	2.35	2.70	3.00
	2.45	2.70	3.10
	2.55	2.70	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.55)	2.74 ↓ (2.95)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Argentino de Rosario
36.2%

Draw
32.9%

Mercedes
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

30.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Rosario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Guinazu T. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Galimberti J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 1.

Recent form of Argentino de Rosario has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mercedes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentino de Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Rosario won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Argentino de Rosario - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Mercedes - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Argentino de Rosario	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Argentino de Rosario	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Leandro N. Alem - Argentino de Rosario	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Argentino de Rosario - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLT
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Mercedes - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Berazategui - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Mercedes - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
06.07.26	Centro Español - Mercedes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0
27.07.24	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:1
24.02.24	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0
Argentinian Primera D
08.09.23	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	1:2
03.06.23	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:1
20.05.23	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:4
01.09.22	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	0:1

Upcoming Matches