Match Info

Primera C - Round 22

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Centro Español		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.70	3.70
	2	2.78	3.9
	1.99	2.74	4.1
	2.03	2.81	4.08	Watch
	1.97	2.7	4.05
	2.1	2.94	3.98
	2	2.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	3.96 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Centro Español
44.6%

Draw
32.6%

Victoriano Arenas
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Centro Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Victoriano Arenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoriano Arenas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Centro Español - Victoriano Arenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Duarte L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Centro Español won 3.

Recent performances by Centro Español have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoriano Arenas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Victoriano Arenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Centro Español has had a series of away games.

Centro Español could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Centro Español won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Centro Español won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Centro Español - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Centro Español
Argentinian Primera C
25.07.26	Lugano - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Centro Español	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Centro Español - Mercedes	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Centro Español	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Puerto Nuevo - Centro Español	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWW
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
25.07.26	Victoriano Arenas - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Español - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Mercedes - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	0:0
06.10.25	Centro Español - Victoriano Arenas	3:1
29.09.25	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	0:1
23.08.25	Centro Español - Victoriano Arenas	4:2
11.05.25	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	3:1
18.08.24	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	1:1
18.03.24	Centro Español - Victoriano Arenas	1:2

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