Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Argentinos Juniors		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.1
	2.55	2.95	3.1
	2.58	3.03	3.17
	2.2	3	3
	2.51	3.08	2.99	Watch
	2.5	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.39)	3.02 ↓ (3.14)	3.04 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
38.1%

Draw
31.1%

Fluminense
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin A. (G) 3. Sanchez L. 29. Di Cesare M. 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Redondo Solari F. 13. Gonzalez F. 27. Bittolo M. 17. Moyano F. 32. Gondou L. 9. Avalos G.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 12. Marcelo 10. Ganso 7. Andre 45. Lima 21. Jhon Arias 14. Cano G. 11. Keno
Substitutes
16. Cabral R. 12. Cardozo J. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 20. Lanzillotta F. (G) 30. Minissale P. 11. Nuss T. 33. Riquelme R. D. 8. Rodriguez A. 4. Vega R. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.	20. Danielzinho 44. David Braz 40. Diogo Barbosa 19. Fernandez L. 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 99. Lele 4. Marlon 8. Martinelli L. M. 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Milito G.	Diniz F.

Preview

1st leg.

Argentinos Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Argentinos Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Colón	1:0 ✺
10.07.23	Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWT
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Fluminense - Santos	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Fluminense - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	São Paulo - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL

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