Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 10

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Coritiba		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45	Watch
	2.98	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3.18	3.04	2.61
	3.08	2.98	2.59
	3	2.8	2.5
	3.42	3.05	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
30.2%

Draw
32%

Fluminense
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.7%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Coritiba - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Coritiba (5.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pedro Rangel (G) 55. Jacy 3. Maicon 26. Bruno Melo 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 36. Vini Paulista 19. Gomez S. (C) 6. Felipe Jonatan 10. Josue 32. Pedro Rocha 11. Lucas Ronier	1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 90. Serna K. 10. PH Ganso 7. Soteldo Y. 19. Castillo R.
Substitutes
33. Alves D. 77. Breno Lopes 28. Fabinho 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 13. Keiller (G) 78. Renato Marques 21. Thiago Santos 23. Tiago Coser 2. Tinga 8. Wallisson 29. Willian Oliveira	25. Alisson 14. Cano G. 21. Igor Rabello 3. Jemmes 9. John Kennedy 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 6. Rene 11. Savarino J. 34. Wesley Nata
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Fernando Seabra 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Felipe Jonatan ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
57', Jacy ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
57', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Tinga ↑,
64', Martinelli ↓, Otavio ↑,
71', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
71', PH Ganso ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Tiago Coser ⚽, Josue (A),
77', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wallisson ↑,
79', Castillo R. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
79', Serna K. ↓, Cano G. ↑,
81', Gomez S. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
83', Gomez S. ↓, Fabinho ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Coritiba: Lavega J. (Yellow Cards) Pedro Morisco (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L. (Yellow Cards) Bernal F. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Inactive) Nonato (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Benassi (Toe Injury)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Canobbio A. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.45%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
01.04.26	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Coritiba - Remo	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TLWWW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
01.04.26	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
12.03.26	Remo - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.11.23	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:1
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0
20.08.22	Fluminense - Coritiba	5:2
01.05.22	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:2
20.01.21	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:3
28.09.20	Fluminense - Coritiba	4:0
09.11.17	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:2

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