Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV App
Argentina	16:00	Flow Eventos
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Brazil	16:00	Globoplay, Premiere, TV Globo
Ecuador	14:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Mexico	13:00	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	16:00	Flow Eventos
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	16:00	Flow
Usa	15:00	Fanatiz
International	19:00	OneFootball TV, TV Globo Internacional


	Fluminense		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.50	3.20
	2.14	3.45	3.20	Watch
	2.19	3.69	3.41
	2.21	3.6	3.15
	2.15	3.55	3.35
	2.05	3.78	3.45	Watch
	2.17	3.50	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.6 ↑ (3.33)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
44.5%

Draw
26.4%

Santos
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Fluminense - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 6. Rene 35. Hercules 16. Nonato 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 30. Soteldo Y. 19. Castillo R.	1. Diogenes (G) 23. Rodinei 4. Lucas Verissimo 14. Luan Peres 22. Barreal A. 48. Gustavo Henrique 11. Coutinho 8. Gabriel Bontempo 10. Neymar (C) 7. Everton 9. Gabriel Barbosa
Substitutes
22. Freytes J. 23. Guga 7. Hulk 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 41. Ruan Sales 11. Savarino J. 90. Serna K. 3. Thiago Silva 34. Wesley Nata	25. Gabriel Menino 18. Igor Vinicius 42. Joao Alencar 26. Joao Ananias 34. Joao Paulo (G) 5. Joao Schmidt 30. Miguelito 28. Oliva C. 38. Rafael Gonzaga 32. Rollheiser B. 33. Rony 16. Thaciano
Coaches
Marcao	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Igor Rabello (A),
25', Barreal A. 🟨,
31', Canobbio A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Rodinei (A),
54', 1 - 2, Coutinho ⚽, Gabriel Bontempo (A),
56', Castillo R. ↓, Hulk ↑,
57', Soteldo Y. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
57', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
57', Canobbio A. ↓, Wesley Nata ↑,
72', Everton ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
73', Coutinho ↓, Rony ↑,
76', Nonato ↓, Serna K. ↑,
83', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Joao Alencar ↑,
87', Neymar ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
87', Barreal A. ↓, Rafael Gonzaga ↑,
90+5', Savarino J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Santos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Santos has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury) Cano G. (Hamstring Injury) Guilherme Arana (Yellow Cards) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Santos: Arthur Melo (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Brazao (Shoulder Injury) Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury) Willian Arao (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Santos: Willian Arao (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fluminense against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	9	51
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	2	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Copa Libertadores
14.10.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
08.10.26	Fluminense - Coritiba	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.26	Platense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Santos - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	São Paulo - Santos	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Remo - Santos	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	5:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Santos - Fluminense	2:3
31.08.25	Santos - Fluminense	0:0
13.04.25	Fluminense - Santos	1:0
29.11.23	Santos - Fluminense	0:3
29.07.23	Fluminense - Santos	1:0
01.08.22	Santos - Fluminense	2:2
09.04.22	Fluminense - Santos	0:0

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