Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.6	6.25
	1.62	3.6	6.1	Watch
	1.62	3.72	6.84
	1.62	3.6	6.47	Watch
	1.63	3.58	6.26	Watch
	1.62	3.6	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	6.36 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
58.8%

Draw
26.3%

Instituto Córdoba
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (C) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 11. Herrera J. 24. Fattori F. 21. Oroz N. 29. Viveros E. 10. Lescano A. 27. Molina T.	28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 31. Requena G. 5. Zalazar N. 21. Pereyra E. 14. Mac Allister F. (C) 34. Moreyra S. 19. Lodico G. A. 16. Lazaro J. 77. Klimowicz L. 27. Luna A.
Substitutes
33. Antoni M. 13. Ardaiz J. 19. Bentancourt R. 5. Cardozo J. 15. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 31. Porcel D. 20. Prieto S. 2. Ramirez T. 7. Rodriguez S. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I.	8. Acevedo J. 11. Batallini D. 23. Beltran E. 42. Carrera L. 29. Cordero N. 32. Dellarossa J. 30. Diaz F. 26. Mosevich L. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 22. Puebla D. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Romero S.
Coaches
Diez N.	Oldra D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Zalazar N. 🟨,
27', Molina T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Viveros E. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
60', Klimowicz L. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Molina T. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽, Lescano A. (A),
68', Lazaro J. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
68', Lodico G. A. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Requena G. ⚽, Luna A. (A),
76', Requena G. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
76', Moreyra S. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
78', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
78', Oroz N. ↓, Cardozo J. ↑,
80', Diaz F. 🟨,
86', Zalazar N. 🟨,
87', Molina T. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
87', Herrera J. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Sosa I. ⚽,
90+1', Fattori F. 🟨,
90+1', Franco J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 2.

Argentinos Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Instituto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Instituto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the team to beat.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Coronel K. (Ankle Injury) Romero M. (Hamstring Injury) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Cordero N. (Ankle Injury) Gallardo M. (Foot Injury) Godoy M. (Red Card) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	3:0 ✺
07.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.25	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
18.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.24	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:2
04.11.23	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.17	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
Copa Argentina
19.07.17	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	0:1

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