Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Instituto Córdoba		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.33
	1.9	3.2	4.4	Watch
	1.97	3.24	4.73
	1.95	3.2	4.43	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
	1.9	3.24	4.59	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	4.5 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
49.5%

Draw
29.5%

Sarmiento de Junín
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto Córdoba's performance.

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sarmiento (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 3 - 50%). Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 5. Zalazar N. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 21. Pereyra E. 34. Moreyra S. 19. Lodico G. A. 7. Godoy M. 27. Luna A. 16. Lazaro J. 77. Klimowicz L.	42. Acosta L. (G) 17. Vallejos J. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. 39. Godoy J. 28. Gho J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 33. Diaz G. 15. Suhr L. 20. Frias F.
Substitutes
40. Avellaneda M. 23. Beltran E. 32. Dellarossa J. 30. Diaz F. 15. Gallardo M. 59. Klimowicz M. 17. Lo Celso F. 26. Mosevich L. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 22. Puebla D. 31. Requena G. 10. Romero S.	26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 22. Burgoa V. 10. Carabajal G. 5. Garcia M. 24. Molina A. 18. Morales I. 36. Morales S. 44. Orihuela R. 8. Paradela F. 34. Seyral A. 21. Vigo A.
Coaches
Jimenez D.	Sanguinetti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Vallejos J. 🟨,
24', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
41', Vallejos J. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
44', Villalba C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Suhr L. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Vigo A. (A),
61', Gimenez E. 🟨,
63', Klimowicz L. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
63', Godoy M. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
64', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Lodico G. A. ⚽, Dellarossa J. (A),
70', Franco J. 🟨,
74', Garcia M. 🟨,
78', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
78', Frias F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
78', Diaz G. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
82', Lazaro J. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
87', Lodico G. A. ↓, Romero S. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Instituto is a favorite.

There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J. (Hamstring Injury) Batallini D. (Inactive) Cordero N. (Ankle Injury) Mac Allister F. (Yellow Cards) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Inactive) Monaco M. (Inactive) Vigo A. (Inactive)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Instituto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.25	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	3:0 ✺
07.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	1:2
29.01.23	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.20	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	2:1
22.08.19	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:3
04.02.19	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
06.05.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
11.12.17	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	3:0

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