Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	2.15	Watch
	3.7	2.95	2.15
	3.65	2.95	2.22	Watch
	3.8	3.03	2.19	Watch
	3.59	3.03	2.23	Watch
	3.65	2.95	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.54)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.19 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
25.6%

Draw
31.5%

Argentinos Juniors
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	11.8%	64.7%

Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 2 - 40%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Newells Old Boys (2.33) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - draw (4.88) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (G) 4. Montero A. 37. Lollo L. 18. Victor Cuesta 23. Martino A. 20. Maroni G. 2. Jacob T. 5. Banega E. (C) 21. Herrera L. 32. Gonzalez C. 24. Silvetti M.	50. Rodriguez D. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 24. Fattori F. 8. Rodriguez A. (C) 21. Oroz N. 10. Lescano A. 29. Viveros E. 27. Molina T.
Substitutes
17. Acuna V. 7. Cardozo F. 38. Chiaverano G. 9. Garcia J. 16. Gigena T. 41. Melgarejo A. 44. Pereira A. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 6. Salcedo S. 3. Sosa L. 34. Sotelo D. 25. Tabares A.	13. Ardaiz J. 5. Cardozo J. 14. Coronel K. 17. Ferreira C. 15. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 11. Herrera J. 20. Prieto S. 2. Ramirez T. 7. Rodriguez S. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I.
Coaches
Fabbiani C.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Maroni G. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
71', Silvetti M. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
71', Martino A. ↓, Tabares A. ↑,
71', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
76', Viveros E. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
80', Herrera L. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
84', Cardozo F. 🟨,
85', Fattori F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newells Old Boys won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Newells Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Argentinos Juniors will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Mendez J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Romero M. (Hamstring Injury) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Newells Old Boys won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:13 (average 0.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.04.25	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWTT
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Central Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Argentinos Juniors - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Banfield - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.24	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:0
28.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
20.06.22	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.22	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.21	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	1:0
25.11.19	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	1:0
29.10.18	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	2:0

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