Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Ario Eslamshahr		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.85
	4.6	2.89	1.83
	4.55	3.13	1.78
	4.5	3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.43)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)	1.82 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ario Eslamshahr
20.4%

Draw
30.1%

Fajr Sepasi
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

33.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

35.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ario Eslamshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ario Eslamshahr's form might have worsened.

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajr Sepasi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ario Eslamshahr than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ario Eslamshahr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajr Sepasi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Ario Eslamshahr is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fajr Sepasi is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ario Eslamshahr
Iran Division 1
27.10.23	Mes Sungun - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ario Eslamshahr - Mes Kerman	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	SaiPa - Ario Eslamshahr	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ario Eslamshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Ario Eslamshahr	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLTT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
27.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Darya Babol - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Mes Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
13.10.26	Fajr Sepasi - Aluminium Arak	✺
08.10.26	Sepahan - Fajr Sepasi	✺

Ario Eslamshahr - Fajr Sepasi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide