Match Info

Super League - Conference League Group - Round 3

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Pankritio Stadium (Heraklion)

Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	OFI		Aris

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.29	3.2	2.42
	3.12	3.13	2.32	Watch
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.19	3.05	2.35	Watch
	2.73	3.05	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)	2.32 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
29.9%

Draw
29.7%

Aris
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

OFI - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Aris will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OFI: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lilo K. (G) 5. Kostoulas K. 24. Lampropoulos V. (C) 2. Krizmanic K. 27. Shengelia L. 6. Karachalios Z. 7. Kanellopoulos G. 3. Athanasiou N. 11. Fountas T. 9. Salcedo E. 18. Nuss T.	33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 27. Fadiga N. 4. Fabiano (C) 92. Rose L. 17. Frydek M. 90. Garre B. 97. Jensen F. 10. Racic U. 28. Dudu 9. Kadewere T. 7. Perez C.
Substitutes
23. Almasidis S. 21. Apostolakis I. 25. Bainovic F. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 90. Kenourgiakis P. 99. Leya Iseka A. 4. Marinakis N. 10. Neira J. 15. Poungouras A. 30. Romano T. 46. Theodosoulakis I.	49. Boussaid O. 13. Dioudis S. (G) 11. Donis A. 6. Galanopoulos K. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 88. Kerkez M. 31. Kouame C. 21. Majkic L. (G) 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 15. Tejero A. 22. Voriazidis M.
Coaches
Kontis C.	Grigoriou M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Racic U. (A),
25', Kadewere T. 🟨,
28', Lampropoulos V. 🟨,
45', Karachalios Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Salcedo E. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
64', Fadiga N. 🟨,
66', Kadewere T. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
66', Fadiga N. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
69', Garre B. 🟨,
72', Perez C. 🟨,
73', Garre B. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
79', Karachalios Z. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
79', Fountas T. ↓, Theodosoulakis I. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Gianniotas G. ⚽, Kouame C. (A),
90', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Bainovic F. ↑,
90', Nuss T. ↓, Romano T. ↑,
90', Dudu ↓, Gning M. ↑,
90', Jensen F. ↓, Galanopoulos K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3.

OFI is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aris's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

OFI may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aris might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in OFI: Christopoulos G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in OFI: Christogeorgos N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Aris: 0.64% OFI Crete: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	OFI Crete	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	5:10	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

OFI - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.42%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Cup
25.04.26	PAOK - OFI	2:3 ET ✺
Greek Super League
18.04.26	OFI - Levadiakos	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Volos - OFI	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Aris - OFI	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	OFI - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WWTWL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
18.04.26	Aris - Volos	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Levadiakos - Aris	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Aris - OFI	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Panserraikos - Aris	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Aris - Atromitos Athens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
22.03.26	Aris - OFI	0:2
04.10.25	OFI - Aris	3:0
03.05.25	OFI - Aris	1:1
05.04.25	Aris - OFI	2:0
05.01.25	Aris - OFI	0:2
15.09.24	OFI - Aris	3:2
17.12.23	Aris - OFI	1:0

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