Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 6
Australia	SportPlus
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	SportPlus


	Aris		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.1
	4.01	3.37	2.02
	5.94	1.53	4.05	Watch
	3.88	3.23	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.26)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
23.7%

Draw
34.6%

Panathinaikos
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

30.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	41.7%	50%

Aris - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dioudis S. (G) 15. Tejero A. 4. Fabiano (C) 92. Rose L. 27. Fadiga N. 97. Jensen F. 6. Galanopoulos K. 8. Monchu 40. Sisto P. 19. Alfarela M. 9. Kadewere T.	69. Dragowski B. (C) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 5. Touba A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 4. Chirivella P. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 10. Tete 11. Bakasetas A. 9. Zaroury A. 19. Swiderski K.
Substitutes
24. Alvaro P. 33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 11. Donis A. 28. Dudu 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 37. Mendyl H. 26. Misehouy G. 80. Moron L. 18. Morutan O. 77. Panagidis M. 20. Sonko Sundberg N.	31. Djuricic F. 29. Jeremejeff A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 40. Lafont A. (G) 17. Mancini D. 25. Mladenovic F. 44. Nikas G. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 72. Pantovic M. 6. Siopis M. 20. Taborda V.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Kontis C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Swiderski K. ⚽, Calabria D. (A),
22', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
26', Tete 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alfarela M. ↓, Donis A. ↑,
46', Kadewere T. ↓, Moron L. ↑,
46', Fabiano ↓, Sonko Sundberg N. ↑,
68', Sisto P. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
70', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
71', Swiderski K. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Donis A. ⚽, Gianniotas G. (A),
79', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
82', Chirivella P. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
82', Zaroury A. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
90', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
90+7', Moron L. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Panathinaikos could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M. (Knock) Jensen F. (Inactive) Mendyl H. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Racic U. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
04.10.25	OFI - Aris	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Aris - Panserraikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
23.09.25	Aris - Marko	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
20.09.25	AE Kifisia - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
05.10.25	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Panathinaikos - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
28.09.25	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Young Boys - Panathinaikos	1:4 ✺
Greek Super League
21.09.25	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
09.02.25	Aris - Panathinaikos	2:0
27.10.24	Panathinaikos - Aris	1:1
Greek Cup
25.05.24	Panathinaikos - Aris	1:0
Greek Super League
28.04.24	Panathinaikos - Aris	0:1
07.04.24	Aris - Panathinaikos	0:2
28.02.24	Panathinaikos - Aris	2:0
26.11.23	Aris - Panathinaikos	2:0

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