Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Tzilos T. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	Panathinaikos		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.75	12	Watch
	1.24	6	11
	1.21	6.28	11.28
	1.34	4.27	9.69	Watch
	1.24	5.6	12.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	5.58 ↑ (4.33)	11.23 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
75%

Draw
16.7%

Asteras Tripolis
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

21.5%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

20.5%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Panathinaikos (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. (C) 5. Touba A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 31. Djuricic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 4. Chirivella P. 9. Zaroury A. 10. Tete 19. Swiderski K.	1. Papadopoulos N. (C) 17. Alho N. 2. Ivanov R. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 72. Fernandez D. 11. Emmanouilidis D. 14. Chicco J. 5. Yablonskiy E. 40. Ketu K. 7. Bartolo J. 41. Macheda F.
Substitutes
26. Fikaj E. 29. Jeremejeff A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 40. Lafont A. (G) 17. Mancini D. 25. Mladenovic F. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 72. Pantovic M. 8. Sanches R. 6. Siopis M. 20. Taborda V.	68. Almyras C. 71. Angelidis S. (G) 55. Archontakakis V. (G) 49. Charalampoglou G. 9. Gioacchini N. 10. Gonzalez E. 32. Mendieta J. 22. Munoz Mumo 29. Pomonis K. 3. Sipcic N. 8. Tzandaris T.
Coaches
Benitez R.	Coleman C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
45+4', Fernandez D. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Alho N. 🟨,
53', Djuricic F. 🟨,
56', Alho N. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
58', Chirivella P. 🟨,
66', Swiderski K. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
67', Zaroury A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
67', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
67', Pomonis K. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Chicco J. (Own goal),
76', Bartolo J. ↓, Munoz Mumo ↑,
76', Chicco J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
82', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,
83', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
90+2', Sanches R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.

Panathinaikos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Asteras Tripolis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Asteras Tripolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bokos I. G. (Inactive) Dessers C. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury)

There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Sylla I. (Inactive) Tsintotas P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Feyenoord - Panathinaikos	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
19.10.25	Aris - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Panathinaikos - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
28.09.25	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
19.10.25	Asteras Tripolis - AE Kifisia	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	3:3 ✺
Greek Cup
24.09.25	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
20.09.25	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	0:1
18.08.24	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
21.01.24	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0
28.09.23	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:4
30.01.23	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:0
09.10.22	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	1:0
29.01.22	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:1

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