Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.28	5.4	11
	1.34	4.84	7.76	Watch
	1.26	5.4	11.3	Watch
	1.32	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	5.23 ↑ (4.78)	9.91 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
72.6%

Draw
18%

Aris
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

19.5%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

15.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Aris (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 50%). Aris (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha 45. Retsos P. (C) 39. Gustavo Mancha 70. Onyemaechi B. 14. Garcia D. 96. Mouzakitis C. 22. Chiquinho 99. Taremi M. 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.	33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 15. Tejero A. 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 24. Alvaro P. 27. Fadiga N. 10. Racic U. 8. Monchu (C) 97. Jensen F. 6. Galanopoulos K. 40. Sisto P. 80. Moron L.
Substitutes
4. Biancone G. 90. Cabella R. 10. Martins G. 8. Nascimento D. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 5. Pirola L. 80. Pnevmonidis S. 23. Rodinei 16. Scipioni L. 11. Yaremchuk R. 97. Yazici Y.	19. Alfarela M. 41. Charoupas K. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 91. Karaj E. (G) 21. Majkic L. (G) 18. Morutan O. 77. Panagidis M. 7. Perez C. 92. Rose L.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Jimenez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Mouzakitis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Podence D. ⚽, El Kaabi A. (A),
60', 2 - 0, Taremi M. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
65', Galanopoulos K. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
65', Sisto P. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
67', Costinha ↓, Rodinei ↑,
67', Garcia D. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
71', Gustavo Mancha 🟥,
74', 2 - 1, Moron L. (Pen),
75', Taremi M. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
75', Podence D. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
81', Moron L. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
81', Fadiga N. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
90', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
90+2', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
90+6', Monchu 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olympiacos is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Martins G. (Inactive) Ortega F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Aris: Fabiano (Inactive) Frydek M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aris: Dioudis S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olympiacos won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	5:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	6:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.10.25	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Egaleo - Aris	1:3 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Levadiakos - Aris	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Aris - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	OFI - Aris	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Aris - Panserraikos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
11.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1
21.09.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:4
Greek Super League
24.04.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1
03.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	3:0
21.01.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2
27.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	4:1

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