Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports


	Aris		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.54	3.06
	2.3	3.34	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.98)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	3.01 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
41.1%

Draw
27.6%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

31.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	17.2%	24.1%

Aris - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Aris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Maccabi Tel Aviv have a series of home games.

Aris will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Aris	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Neftchi Baku - Aris	3:0 ✺
27.07.22	Gomel - Aris	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Aris - Gomel	5:1 ✺
21.07.22	Aris - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Aris	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Zira	0:0 ✺
21.07.22	Zira - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:3 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
14.07.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Netanya	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Aris	2:0

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