Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bebek I. (Cro)


	Aris		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.4	3	3.2
	2.31	3.05	3.05
	2.44	2.95	3.17
	2.29	3.13	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
39.5%

Draw
30.7%

Neftchi Baku
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

31.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	56%	16%

Aris - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Neftchi will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 56%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Aris is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neftchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of home games.

Aris will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Aris - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
14.07.22	Aris - Dnipro-1	4:2
11.07.22	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	Aris - Videoton	1:2 ✺
07.07.22	Aris - Aris Limassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.05.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	4:1 ✺
15.05.22	Neftchi Baku - Zira	0:1 ✺
09.05.22	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.04.22	Neftchi Baku - Zira	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
01.11.26	Levadiakos - Aris	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	✺

Aris - Neftchi Baku