Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Bakcell Arena (Baku)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)


	Neftchi Baku		Aris

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.33	3.15	3
	2.4	3.07	2.97
	2.38	3.18	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.82)	3.1 (3.1)	3.02 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
39.4%

Draw
29.9%

Aris
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftchi Baku's form might have worsened.

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	13.6%	31.8%

Neftchi Baku - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Aris will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Aris is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Neftchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of home games.

Neftchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Aris - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.05.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	4:1 ✺
15.05.22	Neftchi Baku - Zira	0:1 ✺
09.05.22	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.22	Gomel - Aris	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Aris - Gomel	5:1 ✺
21.07.22	Aris - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Aris - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
14.07.22	Aris - Dnipro-1	4:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Aris - Neftchi Baku	2:0

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