Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports


	Aris		PAS Giannina

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7.75
	1.36	4.4	8.7	Watch
	1.43	4.3	6.6
	1.38	4.68	8.85
	1.33	4.33	8.5
	1.37	4.55	8.2	Watch
	1.39	4.2	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)	4.38 ↑ (4.06)	8.36 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
67.5%

Draw
21.3%

PAS Giannina
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris's performance.

PAS Giannina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAS Giannina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Aris - PAS Giannina Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Julian (G) 22. Odubajo M. 4. Fabiano 14. Brabec J. 3. Ferrari F. 28. Verstraete B. 16. Darida V. 93. Suleymanov S. 77. Panagidis M. 32. Karlsson D.M. 80. Moron L.	55. Kleyman B. (G) 2. Soria C. 4. Pantelakis E. 15. Erramuspe R. 3. Tsaousis M. 5. Karachalios Z. 23. Rienstra D. 11. Rosero K. 7. Gino F. 21. Tzimas P. 14. Pamlidis G.
Substitutes
94. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 7. Christodoulopoulos L. 20. Djurasek N. 8. Doukoure C. 18. Fattore V. 27. Menendez J. 33. Montoya M. 21. Pardo R. 12. Zamora A.	99. Athanasiou V. (G) 45. Bakadimas M. 91. Balan C. 25. Bortagaray G. 9. Conde P. 28. Efford J. 30. Kiakos G. 80. Liasos A. 24. Panagou K.
Coaches
Mantzios A.	Staikos A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aris won 3.

Recent matches Aris is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giannina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Giannina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of home games.

In this match Aris is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Aris won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Aris - Betis	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
21.10.23	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Aris - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.10.23	Aris - AE Kifisia	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWTL
- PAS Giannina
Greek Super League
20.10.23	Lamia - PAS Giannina	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
07.10.23	PAS Giannina - Volos	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
01.10.23	PAS Giannina - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
28.09.23	Panserraikos - PAS Giannina	3:2 ✺
24.09.23	PAS Giannina - PAOK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
12.03.23	Aris - PAS Giannina	3:1
13.11.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	0:4
17.05.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	0:3
03.04.22	Aris - PAS Giannina	0:0
14.02.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	2:0
20.11.21	Aris - PAS Giannina	0:5
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Aris - PAS Giannina	4:1

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