Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	SportPlus


	Aris		Panserraikos

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	9	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7.6
	1.3	5.4	10.6
	1.29	5.50	8.97	Watch
	1.44	4.55	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	5.06 ↑ (4.63)	8.69 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
70.4%

Draw
18.7%

Panserraikos
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.3%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

19.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Aris - Panserraikos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aris will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dioudis S. (G) 15. Tejero A. 4. Fabiano 24. Alvaro P. 17. Frydek M. 18. Morutan O. 8. Monchu 10. Racic U. (C) 28. Dudu 6. Galanopoulos K. 80. Moron L.	77. Tinaglini F. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 5. Gelashvili I. 81. De Marco V. (C) 14. Tsaousis M. 8. Liasos A. 63. Rumyantsev V. 7. Nunnely C. 11. Banjaqui Z. 10. Green A. 9. Ivan A.
Substitutes
33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 11. Donis A. 27. Fadiga N. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 91. Karaj E. (G) 26. Misehouy G. 77. Panagidis M. 29. Papasarafianos S. 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 22. Voriazidis M.	28. Brooks E. 24. Doiranlis G. 18. Fale M. 23. Georgiadis C. 88. Kalinin I. 4. Karasalidis A. 80. Karelis N. 99. Maras A. 17. Maskanakis A. 21. Sofianos M. 20. Tsompanidis A. (G) 22. Wague M.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Bacci C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', De Marco V. 🟨,
25', Nunnely C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Monchu ⚽, Tejero A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Moron L. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Ivan A. ⚽, Green A. (A),
62', Nunnely C. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
63', Rumyantsev V. 🟨,
63', Rumyantsev V. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
64', Morutan O. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
64', Dudu ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
75', Gelashvili I. ↓, Karasalidis A. ↑,
82', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Kalinin I. ↑,
83', Tsaousis M. ↓, Doiranlis G. ↑,
84', Galanopoulos K. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
90', Gianniotas G. 🟨,
90+1', Lyratzis L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 4.

Aris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panserraikos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Panserraikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aris is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Panserraikos: Armougom Y. (Ankle Injury) Galvan B. A. (Injury) Leo J. (Inactive) Wague M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aris: Jensen F. (Inactive) Majkic L. (Inactive)

We predict that Aris will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aris won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 1.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Cup
23.09.25	Aris - Marko	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
20.09.25	AE Kifisia - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Atromitos Athens - Aris	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Aris - Panetolikos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL
- Panserraikos FC
Greek Super League
20.09.25	Panserraikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panserraikos	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Iraklis - Panserraikos	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.25	Panserraikos - OFI	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.12.24	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0
24.08.24	Panserraikos - Aris	0:1
03.02.24	Panserraikos - Aris	1:1
21.10.23	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0
Greek Football League
20.05.18	Aris - Panserraikos	2:0
10.02.18	Panserraikos - Aris	1:3

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