Match Info

Greek Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	15:00	COSMOTE Sport 1


	Aris		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.68	3.65	5.2
	1.60	3.30	6.77	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.65	3.58	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.66	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.83)	5.53 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
57%

Draw
26.3%

Panetolikos
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aris - Panetolikos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Panetolikos (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aris will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 3 - 75%). Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 15. Tejero A. 27. Fadiga N. 92. Rose L. 4. Fabiano 7. Perez C. 10. Racic U. 8. Monchu 26. Misehouy G. 77. Panagidis M. 80. Moron L.	12. Zivkovic Z. (G) 35. Mavrias Ch. (C) 4. Garcia U. 16. Sielis C. 15. Manrique C. 18. Satsias G. 28. Kojic L. 71. Michalak K. 77. Nikolaou E. 10. Matan A. 14. Aleksic K.
Substitutes
49. Boussaid O. 41. Charoupas K. 13. Dioudis S. (G) 28. Dudu 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 97. Jensen F. 9. Kadewere T. 30. Kamtsis C. 91. Karaj E. (G) 29. Papasarafianos S.	65. Apostolopoulos A. 8. Belevonis C. 30. Bregou A. 22. Esteban Diego 2. Granath G. 33. Hoxha D. 11. Nkololo B. 21. Papazois E. (G) 1. Pardalos M. (G) 7. Smyrlis L.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Anastasiou G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Moron L. ⚽, Misehouy G. (A),
35', Moron L. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Racic U. ⚽, Misehouy G. (A),
45', Racic U. 🟨,
45+1', Aleksic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Michalak K. ↓, Nkololo B. ↑,
46', Nikolaou E. ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
46', Misehouy G. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
53', Garcia U. 🟨,
58', Manrique C. 🟨,
63', Moron L. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
70', Perez C. ↓, Dudu ↑,
72', Satsias G. ↓, Esteban Diego ↑,
80', Racic U. ↓, Gning M. ↑,
80', Panagidis M. ↓, Charoupas K. ↑,
81', Nkololo B. 🟨,
81', Monchu 🟨,
85', Mavrias Ch. ↓, Granath G. ↑,
86', Matan A. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.

In recent matches, Aris has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Panetolikos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aris is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aris	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4

Outrights of Greek Cup for now

Aris: 3.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
20.12.25	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	PAOK - Aris	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Aris - PAOK	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
29.11.25	Aris - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTW
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
20.12.25	Volos - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	0:5 ✺
08.12.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
04.12.25	Iraklis - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
17.09.25	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1
Greek Super League
30.08.25	Aris - Panetolikos	0:2
23.02.25	Aris - Panetolikos	2:1
09.11.24	Panetolikos - Aris	2:1
Greek Cup
06.03.24	Aris - Panetolikos	0:0
13.02.24	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1
Greek Super League
14.01.24	Panetolikos - Aris	0:4

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