The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panetolikos 18.4%
Draw 27.6%
Aris 54%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
29.9%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
28.2%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panetolikos's form might have worsened.
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panetolikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
6.7%
93.3%
Panetolikos - Aris Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 80.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Kucherenko Y. (G) 35. Mavrias Ch. 5. Mladen S. 4. Garcia U. 2. Granath G. 41. Bouchalakis A. (C) 7. Smyrlis L. 77. Nikolaou E. 10. Matan A. 15. Manrique C. 33. Hoxha D.
33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 15. Tejero A. 4. Fabiano (C) 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 27. Fadiga N. 10. Racic U. 8. Monchu 7. Perez C. 97. Jensen F. 26. Misehouy G. 80. Moron L.
Substitutes
23. Agapakis G. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 8. Belevonis C. 30. Bregou A. 19. Farley Rosa 28. Kojic L. 3. Manos C. 71. Michalak K. 1. Pardalos M. (G) 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)
49. Boussaid O. 13. Dioudis S. (G) 11. Donis A. 28. Dudu 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 30. Kamtsis C. 91. Karaj E. (G) 88. Kerkez M. 77. Panagidis M. 22. Voriazidis M.
Coaches
Anastasiou G.
Jimenez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Hoxha D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nikolaou E. ↓, Kojic L. ↑,
46', Misehouy G. ↓, Dudu ↑,
61', Perez C. ↓, Donis A. ↑,
61', Jensen F. ↓, Boussaid O. ↑,
64', Fadiga N. 🟨,
74', Matan A. ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
74', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Fabiano ⚽, Dudu (A),
83', Mladen S. ↓, Apostolopoulos A. ↑,
84', Boussaid O. 🟨,
90', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
90+1', Smyrlis L. ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
90+2', Manrique C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 2.
Panetolikos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Aris might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Panetolikos: Aguirre J.
(Ankle Injury)
Chura J.
(Inactive)
Esteban Diego
(Yellow Cards)
Garcia U.
(Inactive)
Pardalos M.
(Inactive)
Satsias G.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Foot Injury)
Jensen F.
(Illness)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Rose L.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
Cyprus
Greece
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Kucherenko Y. (G) 
Mavrias Ch. 
Mladen S. 
Garcia U. 
Granath G. 
Hoxha D. 
Fabiano (C) 
Sonko Sundberg N. 
Fadiga N. 
Racic U. 
Jensen F. 
Misehouy G. 
Michalak K. 
Boussaid O. 
Frydek M. 
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