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Current Win Probability
Aris Limassol 21.8%
Draw 28.5%
AEK Athens 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.4%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
27.9%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris Limassol's form might have worsened.
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
25%
55%
Aris Limassol - AEK Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Aris Limassol will win (votes: 4 - 20%). AEK will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 33.2% โ 76.8%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris Limassol (votes: 8 - 50%). AEK (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vana Alves (G) 20. Yago S. 6. Goldson C. (C) 27. Balogun L. 7. Anderson Correia 45. McCausland R. 8. Markhiev A. 76. Charalampous C. 66. Montnor J. 80. Kakoullis A. 11. Kvilitaia G.
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 44. Relvas F. 2. Moukoudi H. 3. Pilios S. 37. Pereyra R. 23. Ljubicic R. 18. Marin R. 20. Mantalos P. (C) 90. Zini 14. Pierrot F.
Substitutes
18. Bourhane Y. 3. Caju 99. Effaghe R. 29. Gaustad D. 9. Kokorin A. 15. Loucoubar A. 17. Matysik M. 10. Mayambela M. 26. Pishias A. (G) 90. Sofroniou E. (G)
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 8. Gacinovic M. 6. Jonsson J. 11. Koita A. 73. Kolimatsis C. 34. Kosidis C. 7. Kutesa D. 29. Penrice J. 13. Pineda O. 21. Vida D.
Coaches
Radkov A.
Nikolic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Pereyra R. ⚽, Mantalos P. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Relvas F. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Kakoullis A. ⚽, Charalampous C. (A),
27', Mantalos P. 🟨,
31', 2 - 2, Goldson C. ⚽, Montnor J. (A),
45+3', Relvas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montnor J. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
46', Kakoullis A. ↓, Kokorin A. ↑,
55', Goldson C. 🟨,
55', Pierrot F. 🟨,
56', Mantalos P. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
56', Zini ↓, Koita A. ↑,
67', Ljubicic R. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
67', Marin R. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
72', Kvilitaia G. 🟨,
77', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Effaghe R. ↑,
80', McCausland R. 🟨,
86', McCausland R. ↓, Caju ↑,
90+1', Pereyra R. ↓, Jonsson J. ↑,
Preview
1st leg.
Aris Limassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
AEK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Aris Limassol has had a series of away games.
Recently, AEK has had a series of home games.
AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Cyprus
Greece
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Vana Alves (G) 
Yago S. 
Goldson C. (C) 
Balogun L. 
Anderson Correia 
McCausland R. 
Markhiev A. 
Montnor J. 
Kvilitaia G. 
Strakosha T. (G) 
Rota L. 
Relvas F. 
Moukoudi H. 
Pereyra R. 
Ljubicic R. 
Marin R. 
Zini 
Pierrot F. 
Bourhane Y. 
Effaghe R. 
Gaustad D. 
Kokorin A. 
Loucoubar A. 
Matysik M. 
Mayambela M. 
Brignoli A. (G) 
Gacinovic M. 
Jonsson J. 
Koita A. 
Kutesa D. 
Penrice J. 
Pineda O. 
Radkov A. 
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