Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Israel	Sport 1


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.35
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	2.7	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.53	2.4
	2.78	3.52	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	2.83	3.58	2.44	Watch
	2.76	3.14	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)	3.38 ↑ (3.14)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
32.6%

Draw
27.5%

AEK Athens
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Hapoel Beer Sheva aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	26.3%	57.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). AEK will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - AEK (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Eliasi N. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 5. Blorian O. 3. Baltaxa M. 13. Davidzada O. 7. Peretz E. (C) 25. Lucas Ventura 20. Kangwa K. 10. Biton D. 66. Zlatanovic I. 11. Ganah A. C.	1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 44. Relvas F. 2. Moukoudi H. 3. Pilios S. 37. Pereyra R. 20. Mantalos P. (C) 13. Pineda O. 11. Koita A. 8. Gacinovic M. 90. Zini
Substitutes
9. Ahmed Z. 29. Almog E. 19. Elias S. 14. Garita A. 18. Levy R. 22. Lopes H. 1. Marciano O. (G) 4. Miguel Vitor 12. Sabobo J. 36. Shani Y. (G) 16. Siman Tov M. 17. Turgeman A.	81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 6. Jonsson J. 34. Kosidis C. 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 18. Marin R. 26. Martial A. 29. Penrice J. 14. Pierrot F. 21. Vida D.
Coaches
Kozuk R.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Koita A. 🟨,
30', Blorian O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Baltaxa M. 🟨,
59', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Turgeman A. ↑,
59', Biton D. ↓, Siman Tov M. ↑,
65', Koita A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
65', Gacinovic M. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
68', Ganah A. C. ↓, Ahmed Z. ↑,
68', Peretz E. ↓, Elias S. ↑,
75', Mantalos P. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
75', Pineda O. ↓, Jonsson J. ↑,
81', Davidzada O. ↓, Almog E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Nagyerdei Stadion.

In recent matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AEK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Hapoel Beer Sheva has had a series of away games.

Recently, AEK has had a series of home games.

AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia	1:2 penalties ✺
Israeli Super Cup
13.07.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Cracovia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT
- AEK Athens
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	AEK Athens - Omonia	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	AEK Athens - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	AEK Athens - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:1 ✺
02.07.25	AEK Athens - Zulte Waregem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0

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