Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: MOL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sports facility Aritma Prague (Prague)


	Aritma Prague		Pardubice

	1	X	2
	12	7	1.17
	11.19	7.14	1.12
	12.25	6.95	1.19	Watch
	12	7	1.15
	14.4	7.1	1.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.37 ↑ (6.12)	7.04 ↑ (5.5)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aritma Prague
7.4%

Draw
13%

Pardubice
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

16.4%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

18.3%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aritma Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aritma Prague's form might have worsened.

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pardubice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aritma Prague than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aritma Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Aritma Prague - Pardubice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Roub D. (G) 11. Dostal D. 17. Dostal S. 16. Hodik D. 9. Komarek M. 6. Kubr S. 12. Mares J. (C) 5. Musil V. 4. Skoch J. 3. Spica J. 15. Vozicky J.	93. Budinsky V. (C) 15. Darmovzal D. 17. Krobot L. 36. Leipold A. 3. Lurvink L. 6. Polyak T. 44. Sehic E. 4. Simek D. 20. Simon D. 23. Surzyn M. 35. Zifcak P.
Substitutes
31. Chundela D. (G) 14. Jansky M. 8. Kolinek T. 13. Konigsmark V. 7. Nikl S. 2. Salansky R. 10. Spirek J.	18. Misek S. 43. Noslin J. 8. Patrak V. 87. Smid N. (G) 24. Solil T. 27. Sychra V. 33. Zlatohlavek T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Krobot L. (Pen),
45+1', Mares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Zifcak P. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
59', Lurvink L. ↓, Misek S. ↑,
62', Polyak T. 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Simon D. ⚽,
68', Misek S. 🟨,
70', Simon D. ↓, Patrak V. ↑,
78', Musil V. ↓, Salansky R. ↑,
80', Krobot L. 🟨,
80', 0 - 3, Patrak V. ⚽,

Preview

Aritma in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pardubice is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aritma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pardubice is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aritma Prague
Czech 4 Liga Group A
21.09.24	Slavia Vejprnice - Aritma Prague	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Přeštice - Aritma Prague	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Aritma Prague - Slavoj Český Krumlov	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Rokycany - Aritma Prague	1:5 ✺
Czech Cup
20.08.24	Aritma Prague - Sokol Hostouň	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW
- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
22.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Slavia Prague - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Pardubice - Hradec Králové	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Slovan Liberec - Pardubice	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Pardubice - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWLL

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