Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Arka Gdynia		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.62	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.76	3.18	2.77
	2.64	3.19	2.69	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.66	3.29	2.66	Watch
	2.42	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.71 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
36.4%

Draw
29%

Radomiak Radom
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.9%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Radomiak will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Radomiak (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Radomiak Radom will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Radomiak (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 29. Marcjanik M. (C) 18. Celestine J. 33. Abramowicz D. 8. Sidibe A. 35. Jakubczyk K. 37. Kerk S. 27. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S. 11. Kocyla D.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. (C) 5. Blasco J. 14. Kingue S. 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 6. Jordao B. 7. Lopes V. 10. Alves R. 11. Capita 15. Tapsoba A.
Substitutes
9. Gaprindashvili T. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 10. Nguiamba A. 22. Percan 6. Perea L. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 32. Stolc P. 14. Vitalucci H. 4. Zator D.	2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 77. Donis C. 8. Golubickas P. 75. Jerke M. (G) 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 25. Maurides 27. Niziolek A. 38. Wolski R. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Abramowicz D. ⚽, Kerk S. (A),
28', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oliveira J. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
56', Kaput M. ↓, Wolski R. ↑,
56', Tapsoba A. ↓, Maurides ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Grzesik J. ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
64', Sobczak S. ↓, Percan ↑,
70', Kocyla D. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
70', Navarro M. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
78', Capita ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
81', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
82', Jordao B. 🟨,
84', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
86', Alves R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
86', Lopes V. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Arka: Perea L. (Heel Injury) Sobczak S. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Arka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Arka Gdynia - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.07.25	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Omonia	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.22	Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia	3:2
Polish Division 1
05.06.21	Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom	0:2
06.12.20	Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia	0:0

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