Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Arlanda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.38	3.35	2.68	Watch
	2.27	3.49	2.84
	2.72	3.55	2.38	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.7
	2.32	3.32	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.51)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	2.65 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
38.5%

Draw
27.2%

Arlanda
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

FBK Karlstad - Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 10. Bertilsson A. 8. Bjork N. 11. Faustini R. 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 12. Hana G. 25. Heden A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 2. Wagnsson S.	1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 5. Elfstrom V. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 6. Gorgos M. 14. Hansen A. 27. Johansson E. 2. Norberg C. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S.
Substitutes
15. Ahlstedt D. 18. Forsberg E. 9. Johansson Bahar F. 17. Olsson W. 3. Parleholt A. 7. Qassem M. 19. Rolandsson N. (G)	4. Ahmed M. 15. Antholm I. 16. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 24. Dibaga D. 30. Karo A. (G) 9. Strangborn F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gorgos M. ↓, Bergstedt O. ↑,
46', Hoiby J. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
63', Butros M. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
71', Hansen A. ↓, Strangborn F. ↑,
71', Rehman S. ↓, Antholm I. ↑,
87', Fredriksson L. ↓, Johansson Bahar F. ↑,
87', Bertilsson A. ↓, Parleholt A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 5).

FBK Karlstad is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arlanda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43

Last Results with these Odds

Arlanda - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Umeå	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	1:5 ✺
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWWW
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Arlanda - Sollentuna	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Piteå - Arlanda	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Enköping - Arlanda	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTWW

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