Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Armagh City		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.65	1.72
	4.13	3.56	1.7
	4.37	3.6	1.69
	3.25	3.85	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.25)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
22.9%

Draw
25%

Limavady United
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

23.9%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armagh City's form might have worsened.

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Armagh City - Limavady United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Limavady (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Limavady (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Recent form of Armagh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Limavady is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Limavady has had a series of home games.

In this match, Limavady is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
20.09.25	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Armagh City - Newington	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Queens University Belfast - Armagh City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Armagh City - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Armagh City - Institute FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
20.09.25	Limavady United - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:3 ✺
16.09.25	Limavady United - Dundela	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Limavady United - Newington	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Limavady United - Queens University Belfast	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.02.25	Armagh City - Limavady United	1:1
19.10.24	Armagh City - Limavady United	1:2
07.09.24	Limavady United - Armagh City	3:0

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