Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Limavady United		Newington

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.8
	1.78	3.57	3.75
	1.79	3.91	3.78	Watch
	1.86	3.88	3.63
	1.81	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)	3.76 ↓ (3.91)	3.67 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limavady United
50.7%

Draw
24.4%

Newington
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Limavady United - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Limavady is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Newington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Limavady is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Limavady won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Limavady United - Warrenpoint Town	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Dundela - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Limavady United - Annagh United	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Ards - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish League Cup
04.11.25	Ballymena United - Newington	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Loughgall - Newington	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Newington - Armagh City	5:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dundela - Newington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1
Northern Irish Championship
13.09.25	Limavady United - Newington	0:0
01.03.25	Newington - Limavady United	1:2
30.11.24	Limavady United - Newington	4:1
14.09.24	Newington - Limavady United	0:0

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