Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 28

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Institute FC		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.55	1.78
	4.01	3.48	1.75
	4	3.7	1.76	Watch
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.18	3.52	1.73
	4	3.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	1.76 (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
22.4%

Draw
25.9%

Limavady United
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25.1%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Institute FC - Limavady United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 0.

Institute is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Limavady is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Institute may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Limavady is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Institute won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Institute FC - Derry City	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
24.01.26	Ards - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Institute FC - Dundela	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWW
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Cup
06.02.26	Limavady United - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Limavady United - Armagh City	5:0 ✺
16.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Limavady United - Lisburn Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.25	Limavady United - Institute FC	1:0
30.08.25	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:2
08.02.25	Limavady United - Institute FC	2:1
26.12.24	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:1
27.08.24	Limavady United - Institute FC	2:1
29.09.17	Limavady United - Institute FC	2:2

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