Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 7

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Limavady United		Dundela

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.35	5.5
	1.45	4.15	5.85
	1.49	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.23 ↑ (4)	5.52 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limavady United
62%

Draw
21.5%

Dundela
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limavady United's performance.

Dundela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Limavady United - Dundela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Butcher J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Mullan A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Tosh L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 4.

Limavady is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dundela is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Limavady is considered a favorite.

We predict that Limavady will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Limavady won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
13.09.25	Limavady United - Newington	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Limavady United - Queens University Belfast	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Limavady United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW
- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
13.09.25	Dundela - Institute FC	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Dundela - Annagh United	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Ards - Dundela	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dundela - Queens University Belfast	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Carrick Rangers - Dundela	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
01.04.25	Dundela - Limavady United	1:1
18.01.25	Limavady United - Dundela	4:0
02.11.24	Limavady United - Dundela	3:2
24.08.24	Dundela - Limavady United	2:3
Northern Irish League Cup
03.10.23	Limavady United - Dundela	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
27.10.18	Dundela - Limavady United	2:2

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