Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Armagh City		Queens University Belfast

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Armagh City
36.5%

Draw
26.4%

Queens University Belfast
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Queens University Belfast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens University Belfast than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Armagh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Queens University's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
18.10.25	Newington - Armagh City	5:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Armagh City - Dundela	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Armagh City - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTL
- Queens University Belfast
Northern Irish Championship
18.10.25	Queens University Belfast - Ards	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Institute FC - Queens University Belfast	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Queens University Belfast - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	0:3 ✺
16.09.25	Ards - Queens University Belfast	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWW

Northern Irish Championship
13.09.25	Queens University Belfast - Armagh City	1:1

Armagh City - Queens University Belfast