Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Newington		Armagh City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.85	3.8
	1.64	3.8	4.24
	1.67	4.04	4.32	Watch
	1.66	3.84	4.26
	1.68	3.82	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.87 ↓ (4.04)	4.16 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
54.4%

Draw
23.6%

Armagh City
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Armagh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Newington - Armagh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(5 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Newington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Armagh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Newington is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Newington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Dundela - Newington	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
04.10.25	Newington - Ards	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Institute FC - Newington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLWW
- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Armagh City - Dundela	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Armagh City - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Armagh City - Newington	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
16.09.25	Armagh City - Newington	2:4
05.04.25	Armagh City - Newington	3:3
15.02.25	Newington - Armagh City	2:3
05.10.24	Armagh City - Newington	0:1

Newington - Armagh City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide