Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 29

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Queens University Belfast		Ards

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.35	2.42
	2.61	3.65	2.33	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.38
	2.59	3.38	2.32
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.27)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	2.41 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens University Belfast
35.8%

Draw
26.7%

Ards
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens University Belfast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens University Belfast than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens University Belfast, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Queens University Belfast - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens University won 3.

Queens University has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ards's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Queens University won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Queens University won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens University Belfast
Northern Irish Championship
14.02.26	Loughgall - Queens University Belfast	4:0 ✺
10.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens University Belfast - Annagh United	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Dundela - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Queens University Belfast - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWTT
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
14.02.26	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:3 ✺
03.02.26	Ards - Newington	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ards - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Newington - Ards	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
18.10.25	Queens University Belfast - Ards	1:0
16.09.25	Ards - Queens University Belfast	2:3
30.04.22	Queens University Belfast - Ards	2:3
29.01.22	Queens University Belfast - Ards	2:1
20.08.21	Ards - Queens University Belfast	3:0
05.10.19	Ards - Queens University Belfast	3:2
Northern Irish League Cup
29.08.17	Ards - Queens University Belfast	5:0

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