Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 4

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Arminia Bielefeld		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.08	3.6	3.05
	2.16	3.72	3.31
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.09	3.62	3.13
	2.11	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.81)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	3.12 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
44.1%

Draw
26.3%

Jahn Regensburg
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arminia Bielefeld's form might have worsened.

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jahn Regensburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Regensburg will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 5. Belkahia S. 27. Gohlke G. 24. Lannert C. 8. Schreck S. 17. Biankadi M. 25. Mizuta K. 11. Yildirim A. 9. Klos F. (C) 7. Shipnoski N.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 6. Saller B. 16. Breunig L. 4. Ballas F. 11. Faber K. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 24. Diawusie A. 10. Viet C. 7. Schonfelder O. 29. Huth E.
Substitutes
10. Boujellab N. 21. Cherny V. 20. Geerkens T. 19. Grosser M. 28. Kiewitt L. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 4. Oppie L. 23. Schneider L. 39. Wintzheimer M.	22. Eichinger N. 21. Eisenhuth T. 20. Ganaus N. 3. Hein B. 9. Hottmann E. 27. Kother D. 32. Weidinger A. (G)
Coaches
Kniat M.	Enochs J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Regensburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Regensburg have a series of home games.

Arminia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Arminia won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.23	Ulm 1846 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	3:2 penalties ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Arminia Bielefeld - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Verl - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Jahn Regensburg - Chemnitzer	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.02.23	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
24.07.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	0:3
09.02.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	6:0
24.08.19	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
08.02.19	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3
01.09.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	5:3
16.12.17	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2

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