Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.35	Watch
	1.74	4.09	5.05
	1.81	3.84	4.10	Watch
	1.67	4.07	4.82	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.93 ↑ (3.84)	4.55 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
55.1%

Draw
24.1%

Preußen Münster
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arminia Bielefeld will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arminia Bielefeld will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 3. Felix J. 24. Lannert C. 6. Corboz M. 21. Russo S. 27. Boakye B. 14. Momuluh T. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.	26. Behrens M. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 22. Heuer J. 3. Jaeckel P. 2. Kirkeskov M. 5. Bouchama Y. 6. Benger M. 20. Hendrix J. 17. Batista Meier O. 11. Vilhelmsson O. 8. Mees J.
Substitutes
29. Handwerker T. 7. Kania J. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A. 44. Yasar E. 30. Young I.	30. Amenyido E. 25. Bolay L. 33. Kirsch M. (G) 24. Koulis N. 13. Lokotsch L. 14. Makridis C. 16. Paetow T. 21. Preissinger R. 7. Sertdemir Z.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. (Pen),
28', Momuluh T. 🟨,
29', ter Horst J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Batista Meier O. ⚽,
41', Kirkeskov M. 🟨,
45+2', Heuer J. 🟨,
45+6', Benger M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kirkeskov M. ↓, Bolay L. ↑,
46', Mees J. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
46', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
55', Hendrix J. 🟨,
61', Vilhelmsson O. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,
67', Benger M. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
69', Russo S. 🟨,
75', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
75', Worl M. ↓, Young I. ↑,
86', Batista Meier O. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Schneider L. (Own goal),
90', Boakye B. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
90+4', Bouchama Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arminia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Schenk J. (Red Card) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Schulz M. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLW
- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
22.11.25	Preußen Münster - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Magdeburg - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
19.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	4:0
18.04.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	2:1
19.10.14	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1
09.03.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	1:1
22.09.12	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0
Club Friendly
08.07.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	N/A

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