Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Dresden		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.74	3.44	2.69
	2.62	3.44	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.56	3.38	2.74	Watch
	2.6	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	3.32 (3.32)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
36.1%

Draw
28.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	19%	19%

Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 39. Keller T. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 8. Herrmann L. 7. Ceka J. 33. Daferner C. 10. Lemmer J.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 31. Knoche R. 5. Bauer M. 17. Sicker A. 38. Worl M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. 11. Grodowski J. 7. Telalovic S. 22. Rochelt J.
Substitutes
40. Bethke E. (G) 20. Bobzien B. 29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 30. Kutschke S. 24. Menzel T. 28. Risch S.	27. Boakye B. 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 10. Mehlem M. 14. Momuluh T. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 23. Schneider L. 28. Uldrikis R.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Wagner R. 🟨,
31', Telalovic S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sicker A. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
63', Herrmann L. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
65', Grodowski J. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
65', Telalovic S. ↓, Momuluh T. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Handwerker T. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Ceka J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
75', Lemmer J. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
83', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
85', Russo S. 🟨,
86', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
90', Corboz M. 🟨,
90+1', Wagner R. 🟨,
90+1', Russo S. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Kother D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Faber K. (Inactive) Froling N. (Illness) Oehmichen J. (Illness) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Aarau	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
03.05.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
08.12.24	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0
20.12.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
05.08.23	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
15.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	4:0
26.10.19	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1

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